{"id":42939,"date":"2025-05-23T15:28:30","date_gmt":"2025-05-23T20:28:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/?p=42939"},"modified":"2025-11-16T06:06:48","modified_gmt":"2025-11-16T12:06:48","slug":"cub-qa-why-is-amerens-electricity-price-spiking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2025\/05\/23\/cub-qa-why-is-amerens-electricity-price-spiking\/","title":{"rendered":"CUB Q&#038;A: Why did Ameren\u2019s electricity price spike this past summer?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A spike in an electricity &#8220;capacity auction&#8221; meant that the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2025\/05\/22\/cub-warns-ameren-customers-of-june-1-electricity-price-spike\/\">supply price for Ameren Illinois increased significantly on June 1.<\/a> <\/strong>Ameren estimated that this increased the average monthly bills of a typical residential customer by 18 percent to 22 percent,\u00a0 or roughly $38 to $46 per month, over the summer. Thankfully, A<\/span>meren&#8217;s price did go down significantly, as of Oct. 1. <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Read CUB&#8217;s Q&amp;A and visit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/welcome-cubs-help-center\/\"><strong>CUBHelpCenter.com<\/strong><\/a> for more information.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>What happened?<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In April,<\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.utilitydive.com\/news\/miso-capacity-auction\/746576\/\"> the power grid operator known as the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) announced<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the results of its latest capacity auction (technically called the \u201cPlanning Resource Auction\u201d), covering the 12-month period from June 2025 through May 2026. The auction is how the grid operator secures reserve power in its region, which includes all or parts of 15 states from the upper Midwest through Ameren Illinois\u2019 territory in central and southern Illinois and down to Louisiana. (MISO territory also includes the Canadian province of Manitoba.)\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the latest auction, the summer capacity price skyrocketed from $30 per Megawatt-day in 2024 to $666.50 per MW-day this year\u2013a 22-fold increase. MISO&#8217;s capacity prices are seasonal, and while they are still elevated compared with the year before for the fall, winter and spring seasons, they do drop significantly after the summer. Below are the seasonal prices from the latest auction (Ameren Illinois is located in MISO\u2019s Zone 4):<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_42940\" style=\"width: 1062px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.misoenergy.org\/meet-miso\/media-center\/2025---news-releases\/misos-planning-resource-auction-indicates-sufficient-resources\/\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-42940\" class=\"wp-image-42940 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/MISO-2025.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1052\" height=\"527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/MISO-2025.png 1052w, https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/MISO-2025-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/MISO-2025-800x401.png 800w, https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/MISO-2025-768x385.png 768w, https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/MISO-2025-958x480.png 958w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1052px) 100vw, 1052px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-42940\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em><strong>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.misoenergy.org\/meet-miso\/media-center\/2025---news-releases\/misos-planning-resource-auction-indicates-sufficient-resources\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the image<\/a> to see MISO&#8217;s full report on the capacity auction.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>What exactly are capacity costs?<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Not only do you pay for the power you use now, but you also pay for power you could use in the future.<\/span>\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2022\/07\/22\/cub-explainer-what-are-capacity-markets\/\">Capacity<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> refers to extra payments consumers give power plant operators for the commitment to have enough reserve electricity available if demand suddenly spikes. (Think of a hot summer afternoon, when everyone blasts the air conditioning.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Where does a capacity price increase appear on my bill?<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">An increase in capacity prices will affect the supply section of your Ameren bill. For most customers, the capacity cost is one component of Ameren\u2019s per-kilowatt-hour (kWh) supply price. On average, capacity takes up roughly 20 percent of the supply price.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(While most customers don\u2019t see capacity costs as a separate line item, participants in Ameren\u2019s Power Smart Pricing program&#8211;which charges you a supply price that can change hourly\u2013do see a capacity line item on their bills.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>How much will an increase in capacity costs increase Ameren bills?<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ameren&#8217;s electricity supply rate, also known as the \u201cprice to compare,\u201d increased by about 50 percent, to <\/span><strong>12.18 cents per kilowatt-hour (kWh)<\/strong>, from June through September 2025. Ameren estimated that t<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">his higher rate, which includes the supply price, a transmission charge and a \u201csupply cost adjustment,\u201d increased summer power bills by an average of 18 percent to 22 percent, or $37.62 to $45.98 per month for the typical customer (10,000 kWh a year).\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In October, capacity prices came down from their summer high, and Ameren&#8217;s new supply price, for October 2025 through May 2026, was significantly lower: <\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li aria-level=\"1\">8.402\u00a2 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) for up to 800 kWh of usage.<\/li>\n<li aria-level=\"1\">7.483\u00a2 per kWh for all electricity usage beyond 800 kWh.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The summer price spike had a significant impact on Ameren customers. Unlike with <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2025\/05\/09\/cub-qa-capacity-price-spike-means-comed-supply-price-will-shoot-up-june-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PJM\u2019s capacity market<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>,<\/strong> MISO does not require participation from power plants. That\u2019s because most utilities in MISO are \u201cvertically integrated,\u201d which means they generate their own electricity and deliver it to their customers at supply and delivery rates set by their state. Such utilities also supply or secure much of their capacity separate from the auction, and only rely on MISO if they have a shortfall. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ameren Illinois does not generate its own power and relies more than other utilities on MISO&#8217;s auction to secure its capacity needs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>So who made money off the price spike?<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Power generators\u2013large corporations that own power plants (mostly fossil fuel plants) and sell power to utilities like Ameren&#8211;made big profits. Ameren Illinois, the utility, is not making money off this price spike. The utility passes supply costs\u2013including capacity payments\u2013onto consumers with no markup.\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(<\/span><strong>Note:<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Ameren does make money off another part of the bill&#8211;the delivery charges&#8211;and CUB challenges the utility\u2019s proposed delivery rate hikes before state regulators. However, this supply price spike has nothing to do with Ameren&#8217;s delivery rate hikes.)\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Why did this happen?<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No doubt, increased demand fueled by data centers is part of the challenge. But the main driver of the price spike was policy shortcomings by MISO. A summary of the root causes of the price spike:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Anti-consumer market rules.<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Perhaps the biggest factor in the price spike was MISO\u2019s new pricing methodology, called the Reliability-Based Demand Curve (RBDC). The grid operator used the RBDC for the first time in this auction, with the intention of giving better price signals that would incentivize developers to build more power plants. But consumer advocates raised deep concerns that the new method unacceptably compromised affordability. <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/5lakesenergy.com\/about\/douglas-jester\/\">Douglas Jester, a clean energy policy expert,<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> said the RBDC allowed MISO to overbuy capacity above minimum reliability levels, increasing costs. (MISO actually touted the RBDC for buying extra capacity and reducing the per MW-day summer price\u2013but the price was lowered to $666.50, which is hardly a deal when the capacity cost was $30 last summer.) Also, the lucrative prices may incentivize generators to delay retiring dirty, outdated power plants.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><strong>Interconnection delays.<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The problem isn\u2019t as severe as with the northern Illinois grid operator, <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2024\/11\/06\/pjm-broke-the-capacity-auction-but-heres-how-they-can-fix-it\/\">PJM<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, but energy generators still have an average wait time of <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.canarymedia.com\/articles\/transmission\/miso-grid-gas-interconnection\">3.5 years in MISO\u2019s &#8220;interconnection queue.&#8221;<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> That\u2019s the waitlist for new power plants seeking review and approval by the grid operator so they can connect to the grid and begin to provide electricity. Most of these stalled power plants are clean energy generators and they total more than 300 gigawatts (GW)\u2013which could help bring down prices and maintain reliability. (<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnet.com\/home\/energy-and-utilities\/gigawatt-the-solar-energy-term-you-should-know-about\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">One GW is enough energy to power 750,000 homes.<\/a><\/strong>)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Over-reliance on gas.<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the past, <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2022\/07\/22\/with-energy-prices-skyrocketing-advocates-urge-power-grid-operator-to-stop-delays-on-new-generation\/\">CUB has urged MISO<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to fix its interconnection problem by fast-tracking clean energy projects that could bring down prices. But in 2025 MISO <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.canarymedia.com\/articles\/transmission\/miso-grid-gas-interconnection\">sought federal approval of a plan<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that would have instead fast-tracked new gas power plants, while leaving hundreds of gigawatts of competitively bid solar, wind, and battery projects stuck in the queue. The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.utilitydive.com\/news\/ferc-rejects-miso-plan-to-speed-generation-interconnection\/748566\/\"><strong>Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC)<\/strong> <\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201crightly rejected\u201d the proposal to favor gas projects over \u201cclean energy projects that have been waiting years to connect to the grid,\u201d a representative from Earthjustice said in a statement.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over-reliance on gas is a familiar theme for power grid operators. While MISO has made renewable energy gains, <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.misoenergy.org\/events\/2025\/pra-results-review---april-29-2025\/\">the grid operator reported in this latest auction<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that coal and gas generation still ranged from about 64 percent to 69 percent of the capacity power secured, depending on the season. Wind, solar and battery power took up about 7 percent to 13 percent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>So what can we do to combat high prices?\u00a0<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The following actions and reforms would be a good step in the right direction.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>Give customers short-term relief:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CUB calls on Ameren to work with customers to keep them connected.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>Fix MISO\u2019s RBDC pricing methodology.<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When announcing the capacity auction results, <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.misoenergy.org\/meet-miso\/media-center\/2025---news-releases\/misos-planning-resource-auction-indicates-sufficient-resources\/\">MISO said<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> its \u201cmarket reforms\u201d helped provide \u201cpricing signals that improve market efficiency and enhance reliability.\u201d But consumer advocates are concerned that this new pricing model has skewed the reliability-affordability balance and easily leads to over-buying capacity.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>Speed up the process for connecting new power plants to the grid.<\/strong> There is plenty of potential power generation to keep the grid reliable and affordable, but those projects are stuck in line at MISO.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>Strengthen state policy.<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Illinois must continue to take steps to strengthen the power grid and bring down prices. The Illinois General Assembly took a major step forward in 2025 by passing the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2025\/11\/04\/illinois-passes-the-crga-act-here-are-its-key-provisions\/\"><strong>Clean and Reliable Grid Affordability (CRGA) Act<\/strong><\/a>, comprehensive energy legislation that, among other things, would cost-effectively expand energy efficiency programs and bring more battery storage to the grid to help reduce prices and strengthen reliability. But there&#8217;s a lot of work left to do to protect customers and hold data centers accountable for their own costs.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>How can Ameren customers try to lessen the impact of high power bills?<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Some steps you can consider to lessen the impact.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>Contact your utility.<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> If you are having trouble affording your energy bills, it is vital that you contact your utility. Find out if you can set up a payment plan to give you a longer time to pay off your bills; and inquire about no or low-cost energy efficiency programs the company offers.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong>Ask Ameren Illinois about special programs. <\/strong>In addition to efficiency programs, consider signing up for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ameren.com\/illinois\/account\/customer-service\/bill\/peak-time-rewards\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Ameren\u2019s Peak Time Rewards program<\/strong><\/a>, which gives residential customers the opportunity to earn small bill credits by reducing electricity usage during times of high electricity demand, typically summer afternoons.<\/li>\n<li aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>See if you qualify for energy assistance. <\/strong><\/span>To<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0learn more about the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP), visit <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www2.illinois.gov\/dceo\/CommunityServices\/HomeWeatherization\/CommunityActionAgencies\/Pages\/HelpIllinoisFamilies.aspx\">www.helpillinoisfamilies.com<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> or call the Help Illinois Families Assistance Line at <\/span><strong>1-833-711-0374<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Practice energy efficiency.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> For tips and info about efficiency programs, visit CUB\u2019s<\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/clean-energy\/\"> Clean Energy page<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and<\/span> <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/amerenillinoissavings.com\/\">Ameren\u2019s energy efficiency page<\/a><\/strong><b>.\u00a0<\/b><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>Consider a community solar deal to help ease costs.<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Community solar offers currently guarantee savings compared to the utility\u2019s supply price. But be a careful shopper: Get more information at our special website,<\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/solar-in-the-community\/\"> SolarInTheCommunity.com<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>If you\u2019re interested in installing solar panels, consider the next steps.<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Read our <\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/introduction-to-rooftop-solar\/\">rooftop solar<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> fact sheet. Also, there is an excellent program for income-qualified customers interested in solar called<\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/ilsfa\/\"> Illinois Solar for All.<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><strong>Beware of energy rip-offs.<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Alternative supplier sales representatives pitching you via door-to-door, phone or direct mail marketing may try to lure you into a bad deal. Remember: Alternative supplier prices are also impacted by the same market factors that cause Ameren&#8217;s price to increase. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2025\/08\/11\/grim-milestone-cub-review-of-state-data-finds-comed-ameren-residential-customers-have-lost-more-than-2-billion-to-alternative-power-suppliers-over-last-decade\/\"><strong>Illinois consumers have lost billions of dollars to alternative suppliers over the last decade.<\/strong> <\/a>\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If your community negotiated an offer with an alternative supplier, something called &#8220;municipal aggregation,&#8221; do not assume it will save you money. Savings aren&#8217;t guaranteed with any alternative supplier. Ask what price the community deal offers and for how long, and how that compares with Ameren&#8217;s supply price. See<\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/electric_municipalaggregation\/\"> CUB\u2019s fact sheet on community power deals<\/a><\/strong>,<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and check out this<\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/plugin.illinois.gov\/municipal-aggregation\/municipal-aggregation-list.html\"> list of community deals from the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC)<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0to see if your community is on the list.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Are Commonwealth Edison customers impacted by capacity prices?<\/strong><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yes. ComEd\u2019s capacity market is run by a different power grid operator, called PJM Interconnection. The prices in<\/span><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizensutilityboard.org\/blog\/2025\/05\/09\/cub-qa-capacity-price-spike-means-comed-supply-price-will-shoot-up-june-2025\/\"> PJM\u2019s auction also skyrocketed in the summer of 2025<\/a><\/strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A spike in an electricity &#8220;capacity auction&#8221; meant that the supply price for Ameren Illinois increased significantly on June 1. Ameren estimated that this increased the average monthly bills of a typical residential customer by 18 percent to 22 percent,\u00a0 or roughly $38 to $46 per month, over the summer. Thankfully, Ameren&#8217;s price did go down significantly, as of Oct. 1. Read CUB&#8217;s Q&amp;A and visit CUBHelpCenter.com for more information.\u00a0 What happened? In April, the power grid operator known as the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) announced the results of its latest capacity auction (technically called the \u201cPlanning Resource Auction\u201d), covering the 12-month period from June 2025 through May 2026. The auction is how the grid operator secures reserve power in its region, which includes all or parts of 15 states from the upper Midwest through Ameren Illinois\u2019 territory in central and southern Illinois and down to Louisiana. (MISO territory also includes the Canadian province of Manitoba.)\u00a0 In the latest auction, the summer capacity price skyrocketed from $30 per Megawatt-day in 2024 to $666.50 per MW-day this year\u2013a 22-fold increase. MISO&#8217;s capacity prices are seasonal, and while they are still elevated compared with the year before for the fall, winter and spring seasons, they do drop significantly after the summer. Below are the seasonal prices from the latest auction (Ameren Illinois is located in MISO\u2019s Zone 4): What exactly are capacity costs? Not only do you pay for the power you use now, but you also pay for power you could use in the future.\u00a0Capacity refers to extra payments consumers give power plant operators for the commitment to have enough reserve electricity available if demand suddenly spikes. (Think of a hot summer afternoon, when everyone blasts the air conditioning.) Where does a capacity price increase appear on my bill? An increase in capacity prices will affect the supply section of your Ameren bill. For most customers, the capacity cost is one component of Ameren\u2019s per-kilowatt-hour (kWh) supply price. On average, capacity takes up roughly 20 percent of the supply price.\u00a0 (While most customers don\u2019t see capacity costs as a separate line item, participants in Ameren\u2019s Power Smart Pricing program&#8211;which charges you a supply price that can change hourly\u2013do see a capacity line item on their bills.) How much will an increase in capacity costs increase Ameren bills? Ameren&#8217;s electricity supply rate, also known as the \u201cprice to compare,\u201d increased by about 50 percent, to 12.18 cents per kilowatt-hour (kWh), from June through September 2025. Ameren estimated that this higher rate, which includes the supply price, a transmission charge and a \u201csupply cost adjustment,\u201d increased summer power bills by an average of 18 percent to 22 percent, or $37.62 to $45.98 per month for the typical customer (10,000 kWh a year).\u00a0\u00a0 In October, capacity prices came down from their summer high, and Ameren&#8217;s new supply price, for October 2025 through May 2026, was significantly lower: 8.402\u00a2 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) for up to 800 kWh of usage. 7.483\u00a2 per kWh for all electricity usage beyond 800 kWh. The summer price spike had a significant impact on Ameren customers. 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